| Global Warming Will 'Stop', New Peer-Reviewed Study Says |
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| Thursday, 01 May 2008 19:37 | |
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BREAKING NEWS: Global Warming Takes a Break for Nearly 20 Years? Today’s UK Telegraph reports: “Global warming will stop until at least 2015 because of natural variations in the climate, scientists have said. Researchers studying long-term changes in sea temperatures said they now expect a "lull" for up to a decade while natural variations in climate cancel out the increases caused by man-made greenhouse gas emissions. The average temperature of the sea around Europe and North America is expected to cool slightly over the decade while the tropical Pacific remains unchanged. This would mean that the 0.3°C global average temperature rise which has been predicted for the next decade by the UN's Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change may not happen, according to the paper published in the scientific journal Nature.” For full story, go to : http://www.telegraph.co.uk/earth/main.jhtml?xml=/earth/2008/04/30/eaclimate130.xml This is surely good news. This natural climate variation means that there will be no warming until 2015. This gives us plenty of time to stop and think before we leap. We do not need any more bio-fuel disasters, or threats to put our dairy farmers out of business. And we certainly do NOT need to rush into an emission trading scheme – unless we are determined to look like the dumbest kids on the block. The next point is that none of the climate models predicted this "lull" – until now! The climate models have grossly underestimated natural variation and they must all be regarded with extreme suspicion. As Richard Wood of the Hadley says in the report "climate predictions for a decade ahead would always be to some extent uncertain." If it is difficult to predict climate 10 years ahead, we can only assume that the prediction that man-made global warming will reappear beyond 2015 is also very uncertain. Therefore we need a Royal Commission to look at the whole issue before we destroy our economy in response to a threat that may not exist, and is certainly not imminent and requiring urgent action. It's definitely time to pause for a cup of tea. Or even two or three. |
