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Hits:
Urban Fringe Prices in Sydney and Dallas/Fort Worth PDF Print E-mail
Centre Digests
*(Note this Digest is "Super King Size" because I leave for Bali on Friday and 
will not return until the following Saturday – so this is designed to provide
busy reading for nearly two weeks.)*


*Activities.*
Activity 1: Returned from "Recovering from Smart Growth" conference in San Jose.
Activity 2: Preparing for attendance at Bali UNFCC conference as Chair of the
Policy Panel of the NZCSC.

*Request for Further Proposed Reforms*

*Items*.
Item 1: NBR Column on Commissioners of Councillors for Hearings Committees.
Item 2 Demographia Study compares Urban Fringe Prices in Sydney and Dallas/Fort Worth.
Item 3: Two More Nails in the Coffin of Planning Lore.
Item 4 Joel Kotkin on the "Rise of Family Friendly Cities".
Item 5: Cox, Kotkin and O'Toole on Urban Governance.
Item 6: Will Alexander's Letter to the British High Commissioner.


Entertainment 1:Squatters' Rights. (Actually, entertainment for masochists.)
Funding:   Even a Dollar Helps! 


ACTIVITIES

Activity 1: Attended "Recovering from Smart Growth" conference in San Jose.

The Centre has already covered the major points of this conference in two 
special Media Releases referring in particular to the coverage of our three
papers on Randal O'Toole's Antiplanner website. The Centre strongly recommends
Randal's latest book The Best Laid Plans available from the Cato bookstore
here. The opening chapters on planning in the US
Forest Service should fascinate anyone connected to the forestry sector.
I shall be drip feeding more papers and links as time goes by. But in the
meantime the Centre strongly recommends the webpage of Professor Richard Gordon
whose academic works are a
gold-mine for all those seeking solid research to challenge the planning lore
lurking behind the ARC Policy Change 6 and the like.
If you have any problems downloading the Centre papers from the Antiplanning
site let me know.


Activity 2: Preparing for attendance at Bali UNFCC conference.

I leave for this conference on Friday and return the following Saturday. I am 
joining a group of about a dozen of the CSC colleagues from around the world to
challenge the UN world view. I cannot say too much more at this stage because
there will be planned media releases from the conference to generate maximum
effect. However, I can say that none of us are being funded by tax payers (or
the oil companies) and of course I have my pretty certificate of 1,000,000
carbon offsets purchased from freecarbon on the web. My role is to challenge
the presumed linkages between climate change and land use, urban form and
agriculture in New Zealand and related policy issues. This conference focuses on
policy rather than science - although the two are inextricably linked. It is
difficult to generate sound policy from poor science.


*Request for Further Proposals for the RMA Reform Bill*

The Centre has collected all the proposed reforms from numerous sources to date
and gathered them into one document. The RMA Reform Forum met for the first time
last week and the Centre has been asked to write up all the proposals within a
single reform Bill.
So if you have any ideas you would like built into such a package, or any
problems you want addressed within the package, please send them in as soon as
possible.
Read the full collection here.
documents/RMAAgendaGen.pdf


*ITEMS*

Item One: Hearings Committees – Commissioners or Councillors?

A few weeks ago our NBR column presented a list of "Tips for Mayors". This was 
well received and many successful candidates have acted on it. There are some
tense battles going on as some councillors attempt to wrestle back their right
to govern from their executive. However, those "tips" also generated requests
for some analysis of another vexatious issue – who should sit on hearings
panels. Does democracy demand Councillors do the job, or does democracy equally
demand the separation of powers? So last week 's column addressed this issue
and finally came down n favour of choice – the applicant's choice.


Item Two: Demographia Compares House Prices in Sydney and Dallas/ForthWorth.

The 3rd Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey 
<http://www.demographia.com/dhi-ix2005q3.pdf> released January 2007, of the 159
major urban markets of the United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, United States,
Australia and New Zealand, found that Sydney households require 8.5 times
their annual household income to house themselves. The Dallas-Fort Worth
households only require 2.7 times their annual household incomes. Thus, a Sydney
household pays more than three times as much for housing, relative to its income
as a Dallas-Fort Worth resident. This equates to a total additional
cost, including mortgage interest of more than $800,000 for a Sydney
household. Demographia’s research illustrates
<http://www.demographia.com/db-syd-dfw-rls.pdf> that the reason some urban
markets are experiencing housing stress, is because affordable housing is not
being built on the fringes.
*
Demographia is planning a similar survey next year comparing House Prices in
Auckland with Dallas/Fort Worth.


Item Three: Two More Nails in the Coffin of Planning Lore.

The San Jose conference was dominated by presentations of serious data and 
surveys by economists, transport engineers, and other genuine experts in urban
affairs. A common question was "how come today's planning professionals are
given so much credibility in the courts and elsewhere when they actually have no
expertise in any of the matters they talk about?" Indeed one definition of the
planning profession is "a group of professionals who claim to know how to plan
cities even though they have no knowledge of how cities actually work".
One of the common claims in favour of Smart Growth is that people will react
with each other more if they live at high densities and avoid the isolation they
experience in the dreadful suburbs – which are guilty of every sin known to man.
A new study puts this piece of planning lore to rest.
<http://www.socsci.uci.edu/~jkbrueck/socinteract.pdf>
Social Interaction and Urban Sprawl by Jan K. Brueckner (Department of 
Economics, University of California, Irvine) and Ann G. Largey, (Dublin City
University Business School Dublin 9, Ireland) is a major piece of work (and may
take some time to download – be patient) which provides useful counter-evidence
against another of the claims made in newspapers, and even the courts, every
day.
 The authors' final paragraph concludes:

"the paper’s findings suggest that
social-interaction effects should not be included in the panoply of criticisms
directed toward urban sprawl. In fact, the results suggest an opposite line of
argument."

The banging sound you hear is another nail being driven home.

And this report from Australia

<http://sustainability.nsw.gov.au/information/common/pdf/alts_adds_req/energy_mu_study.pdf> provides 
even more music to the ears of those challenging ARC Policy Change 6 and other
foolishness. The report "Multi Unit Residential Buildings Energy & Peak Demand
Study
" by Energy Australia, looked into the relative energy consumption of
high-rise apartments, medium rise and low density dwellings, villas and town
houses and detached housing, on a per capita and per household basis. Now we all
know – because the planners tell us so – that higher densities save energy and
that suburban detached housing is energy profligate. Well, it seems we are all
wrong – again. Low density housing outper
f
orms high density housing in energy
consumption and greenhouse gas emissions.
Peak demand showed no obvious correlations.


Item Four: Joel Kotkin on the Rise of Family Friendly Cities

This essay by Joel Kotkin opens: 
For much of the past decade, business recruiters, cities and urban developers 
have focused on the "young and restless," the "creative class," and the
so-called "yuspie"--the young urban single professional. Cities, they've said,
should capture this so-called "dream demographic" if they wish to inhabit the
top tiers of the economic food chain and enjoy the fastest and most sustained
growth.
This focus -- epitomized by Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm's risible "Cool 
Cities" initiative -- is less successful than advertised. Cincinnati, Baltimore,
Cleveland, Newark, Detroit and Memphis have danced to the tune of the hip and
the cool, yet largely remain wallflowers in terms of economic and demographic
growth. Instead, an analysis of migration data by my colleagues at the Praxis
Strategy Group shows that the strongest job growth has consistently taken place
in those regions -- such as Houston, Dallas, Charlotte and Raleigh-Durham --
with the largest net in-migration of young, educated families ranging from their
mid-20s to mid-40s.
New Zealand cities should take note. Read the whole essay here. 
<http://opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110010911>


Item Five: Cox, Kotkin and O'Toole on Amalgamation and Urban Governance.

The Government has announced a Royal Commission of Inquiry into Auckland 
Governance. The Honourable Peter Salmon QC is the Chair of the Royal Commission.
Dame Margaret Bazley and David Shand the Commissioners.
The terms of reference are suitably broad and the commissioners are well
qualified. However, the news media and most commentators seem to assume that the
outcome will be some variation on the Super City with the nature of the
amalgamations being all that has to be determined. Again it is to be hoped that
we can learn from the experience of others. A good place to start is the recent
report by Wendell Cox on the costs of local government in Philadelphia.

The
Demographia page explains:

*PENNSYLVANIA'S EFFICIENT TOWNSHIP GOVERNMENT*

*Study Shows Smaller Governments Have Far Lower Costs per Capita*

<http://www.psats.org/local_gov_growth_report.pdf>* (It's a big file so take a
coffee break while it loads.)*
In this report commissioned by the Pennsylvania State Association of Township
Supervisors, Wendell Cox shows that the Commonwealth's smaller local governments
have by far the lowest costs per capita, even when attributable spending is
added and spending financed by state and federal sources is subtracted. This
conclusion is in opposition to the "conventional wisdom," which is that larger
governments are more efficient. In fact, the only "economies of scale" in larger
governments are for special interest, which are able to exert control over
larger government organizations with less effort and expenditure than would be
necessary to control a myriad of smaller local governments. At the same time,
smaller local governments are more effective because they are "closer to the
people." This report on Pensylvania is mainly about outcomes while Wendell's
report on Montreal is mainly about process. It is depressing reading.
<http://www.publicpurpose.com/pp-montreal.pdf>

Both reports deal with governance and structure. Then our friend Joel Kotkin,
in Back to Basics,
<http://www.joelkotkin.com/Urban_Affairs/NAF_GrowthStrategy.pdf> writes about
what such bodies need to actually do.
To complete "the terrible trio", in Unlivable Strategies:The Greater Vancouver
Regional District and the Livable Region Strategic Plan, Randal O'Toole points
out that the best way to manage infrastructure is to have dedicated bodies who
deal solely with their own task, just as the Reserve Bank deals solely with
monetary policy.
The "integration" can take place in public debate rather than behind closed
doors. The problem with multi-functional governance is that one pressure group
usually comes to dominate all activity and everything gets brushed aside "in
favour of the favourite fad". This is how all those train sets get
built. Download Randal's report here.
<http://www.fraserinstitute.org/commerce.web/publication_details.aspx?pubID=4923>
We need to get all four reports in front of the commissioners before they sit
down to hear all the advocates of amalgamation for Auckland and encourage yet
another wrong decision in the history of Auckland.

*Item Six: Will Alexander writes to the British High Commissioner.

WJR Alexander is Professor Emeritus, Department of Civil and Biosystems 
Engineering, University of Pretoria, South Africa. Email This e-mail address is being protected from spambots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it
<mailto: This e-mail address is being protected from spambots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it >
In this letter to the British High Commissioner to South Africa, written in
response to a scientific mission evidently charged with scaring South Africans
about the effects of climate change, Will opens his argument with the somewhat
provocative statement:
"The subject of the discussions relates to the science of climate change. I am
obliged to inform you that for a number of reasons, knowledge on this subject
is further advanced in the applied sciences in South Africa than in the UK and
other northern hemisphere countries that experience milder climates."
And later:
"Despite alarmist predictions to the contrary, based on inadequate global
climate prediction models, sub-continental Africa has just experienced two
successive good years. There were beneficial, widespread heavy rainfalls during
this period. Rivers flowed strongly and dams filled. The countryside in our arid
regions was wetter and greener than at any time in recent memory. There were no
signs of the predicted desertification of this region.
There were no losses of our unique indigenous plant and animal species.
Together with colleagues I have demonstrated that claims that human activities 
have had an adverse effect on rainfall, river flow, floods and droughts with
consequent adverse effects on the natural environment, have no substance. There
is no measurable, regional scale, synchronous, multi-process, multi-site
evidence to support the alarmist claims. None at all."
This is a carefully worded, restrained and thought-provoking letter from a 
genuine expert in African climatic conditions and their impact on agriculture,
power generation and flood control. He gently chides the British High
Commissioner for the UK's condescending and patronising attitudes to South
African science while respectfully requesting "more trade and less aid". Most of
what we hear about Africa today comes from expert celebrities like Bono,
Madonna, George Clooney and Leonardo DiCaprio. For a different voice go to:
Letter to the High Commissioner

I am pleased to say I shall be meeting Will Alexander in Bali when I arrive
there on Saturday. I am even more pleased to say that the Centre played a major
role in promoting his attendance at the UNFCC conference where we are sure he
will have a major impact. He focuses on the impact of the Kyoto policies on
agriculture in Africa. We have much to learn from his approach and his
experience and knowledge.

Entertainment – Squatters Rights?

Many of you will be generally aware of the world-wide assault on property 
rights. Most of us were shocked by the Keloh decision of the US Supreme Court
<http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/23/AR2005062300783_pf.html> which
found that
"local governments may force property owners to sell out and make 
way for private economic development when officials decide it would benefit the
public, even if the property is not blighted and the new project's success is
not guaranteed."
 Many are not aware that a key reason for the justification of 
this taking was that the city was working to "a plan".
Fortunately, here in New Zealand, cities have not attempted to take private
property for such "public purposes" – our property is more likely to be taken to
protect "natural features" or increasingly to protect someone's belief in their
"right to a rural view" - aka "protecting rural character". (see for
example: /Merton v Rodney District Council 2/2/07, Judge Jackson, Commissioners
Manning and Mills, ENC Auckland A008/07/)

However, you can depend on Americans to innovate and who would have thought
squatters' rights could be used to take your neighbour's property? Only in
America - surely? But don't relax – I am sure DoC has read this case with
interest. <http://ti.org/antiplanner/
?p=302%23more-30>
And when you have finished, go to the Antiplanner
home page and get up to date
with more papers from the American Dream conference at San Jose.
While it is comforting to imagine "that could never happen here" ponder section
5 of the RMA and what it was meant to mean, and remember how in the Third
Reading we were told this was the end to "the direction and control of the use
of land". Then, while you are feeling smug and comfortable, go to the Western
Bay of Plenty District Council web pages and examine their Omokaroa Proposed
Plan Change 69
<http://www.wbopdc.govt.nz/Projects/OmokoroaUrbanisation/PlanChange69.htm> and
take a look at the structure plans prepared by Becca Planning.
Go to Plan Change 69 – Part One, and look at the lists on page 9, and page 13
and then the minimum density rules on page 14. And don't you love this?
6.3.3.1 Activity Performance Standards for Activities in the Commercial Zone
the Omokoroa
Stage 2 Structure Plan Area
(a)A Comprehensive Development Plan for the whole zone shall be prepared 
by the District Council prior to development of individual titles. This plan
shall define the compliance with the performance standards and criteria listed
below and the location of buildings, traffic and pedestrian cycle paths and
parking areas and shall specify integration within the commercial zone and to
the adjoining Industrial Zone and public reserve. You might think that either
Becca Planning or the Council must own all the land
on this peninsula but, it is all in private ownership – owned by people who
never wanted to be "urbanised" and who were quite happy with their
rural-residential horticultural small farming lifestyle and environment.
I gave evidence to the Environment Court in which I challenged the whole theory
of Smart Growth and challenged its legitimacy because it clearly required "the
direction and control of land use". Under cross-examination Council's planner
explained that this was not so – Council had simply figured out where future
populations would like to live and was providing for them, hence enabling them
to achieve their goals.
This satisfied Judge Sheppard who threw out the appeal on the plan and found
heavy costs against the appellants.
I wonder if the Judge ever gets to look at these documents and wonders if they
are about "the direction and control of the use of land"? Go to the pages 30 to
33 and pages 1 and 3 of Part 2.
You might also look at Appendix IX of part 2 which the Centre has appealed.

Whatever happened to these landowners' right to the quiet enjoyment of their land?
How do we change the RMA to make such "taking by planning" clearly unlawful?
 

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