*(Note this Digest is "Super King Size" because I leave for Bali on Friday and will not return until the following Saturday – so this is designed to provide busy reading for nearly two weeks.)*
*Activities.* Activity 1: Returned from "Recovering from Smart Growth" conference in San Jose. Activity 2: Preparing for attendance at Bali UNFCC conference as Chair of the Policy Panel of the NZCSC.
*Request for Further Proposed Reforms*
*Items*. Item 1: NBR Column on Commissioners of Councillors for Hearings Committees. Item 2 Demographia Study compares Urban Fringe Prices in Sydney and Dallas/Fort Worth. Item 3: Two More Nails in the Coffin of Planning Lore. Item 4 Joel Kotkin on the "Rise of Family Friendly Cities". Item 5: Cox, Kotkin and O'Toole on Urban Governance. Item 6: Will Alexander's Letter to the British High Commissioner.
Entertainment 1:Squatters' Rights. (Actually, entertainment for masochists.)
Funding: Even a Dollar Helps!
ACTIVITIES
Activity 1: Attended "Recovering from Smart Growth" conference in San Jose.The Centre has already covered the major points of this conference in two special Media Releases referring in particular to the coverage of our three papers on Randal O'Toole's Antiplanner website. The Centre strongly recommends Randal's latest book The Best Laid Plans available from the Cato bookstore here. The opening chapters on planning in the US Forest Service should fascinate anyone connected to the forestry sector. I shall be drip feeding more papers and links as time goes by. But in the meantime the Centre strongly recommends the webpage of Professor Richard Gordon whose academic works are a gold-mine for all those seeking solid research to challenge the planning lore lurking behind the ARC Policy Change 6 and the like. If you have any problems downloading the Centre papers from the Antiplanning site let me know.
Activity 2: Preparing for attendance at Bali UNFCC conference.I leave for this conference on Friday and return the following Saturday. I am joining a group of about a dozen of the CSC colleagues from around the world to challenge the UN world view. I cannot say too much more at this stage because there will be planned media releases from the conference to generate maximum effect. However, I can say that none of us are being funded by tax payers (or the oil companies) and of course I have my pretty certificate of 1,000,000 carbon offsets purchased from freecarbon on the web. My role is to challenge the presumed linkages between climate change and land use, urban form and agriculture in New Zealand and related policy issues. This conference focuses on policy rather than science - although the two are inextricably linked. It is difficult to generate sound policy from poor science.
*Request for Further Proposals for the RMA Reform Bill* The Centre has collected all the proposed reforms from numerous sources to date and gathered them into one document. The RMA Reform Forum met for the first time last week and the Centre has been asked to write up all the proposals within a single reform Bill. So if you have any ideas you would like built into such a package, or any problems you want addressed within the package, please send them in as soon as possible. Read the full collection here. documents/RMAAgendaGen.pdf
*ITEMS*
Item One: Hearings Committees – Commissioners or Councillors?A few weeks ago our NBR column presented a list of "Tips for Mayors". This was well received and many successful candidates have acted on it. There are some tense battles going on as some councillors attempt to wrestle back their right to govern from their executive. However, those "tips" also generated requests for some analysis of another vexatious issue – who should sit on hearings panels. Does democracy demand Councillors do the job, or does democracy equally demand the separation of powers? So last week 's column addressed this issue and finally came down n favour of choice – the applicant's choice.
Item Two: Demographia Compares House Prices in Sydney and Dallas/ForthWorth.The 3rd Annual Demographia International Housing Affordability Survey <http://www.demographia.com/dhi-ix2005q3.pdf> released January 2007, of the 159 major urban markets of the United Kingdom, Ireland, Canada, United States, Australia and New Zealand, found that Sydney households require 8.5 times their annual household income to house themselves. The Dallas-Fort Worth households only require 2.7 times their annual household incomes. Thus, a Sydney household pays more than three times as much for housing, relative to its income as a Dallas-Fort Worth resident. This equates to a total additional cost, including mortgage interest of more than $800,000 for a Sydney household. Demographia’s research illustrates <http://www.demographia.com/db-syd-dfw-rls.pdf> that the reason some urban markets are experiencing housing stress, is because affordable housing is not being built on the fringes. * Demographia is planning a similar survey next year comparing House Prices in Auckland with Dallas/Fort Worth.
Item Three: Two More Nails in the Coffin of Planning Lore.The San Jose conference was dominated by presentations of serious data and surveys by economists, transport engineers, and other genuine experts in urban affairs. A common question was "how come today's planning professionals are given so much credibility in the courts and elsewhere when they actually have no expertise in any of the matters they talk about?" Indeed one definition of the planning profession is "a group of professionals who claim to know how to plan cities even though they have no knowledge of how cities actually work". One of the common claims in favour of Smart Growth is that people will react with each other more if they live at high densities and avoid the isolation they experience in the dreadful suburbs – which are guilty of every sin known to man. A new study puts this piece of planning lore to rest. <http://www.socsci.uci.edu/~jkbrueck/socinteract.pdf> Social Interaction and Urban Sprawl by Jan K. Brueckner (Department of Economics, University of California, Irvine) and Ann G. Largey, (Dublin City University Business School Dublin 9, Ireland) is a major piece of work (and may take some time to download – be patient) which provides useful counter-evidence against another of the claims made in newspapers, and even the courts, every day. The authors' final paragraph concludes: "the paper’s findings suggest that social-interaction effects should not be included in the panoply of criticisms directed toward urban sprawl. In fact, the results suggest an opposite line of argument." The banging sound you hear is another nail being driven home. And this report from Australia <http://sustainability.nsw.gov.au/information/common/pdf/alts_adds_req/energy_mu_study.pdf> provides even more music to the ears of those challenging ARC Policy Change 6 and other foolishness. The report "Multi Unit Residential Buildings Energy & Peak Demand Study" by Energy Australia, looked into the relative energy consumption of high-rise apartments, medium rise and low density dwellings, villas and town houses and detached housing, on a per capita and per household basis. Now we all know – because the planners tell us so – that higher densities save energy and that suburban detached housing is energy profligate. Well, it seems we are all wrong – again. Low density housing outperforms high density housing in energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions. Peak demand showed no obvious correlations.
Item Four: Joel Kotkin on the Rise of Family Friendly CitiesThis essay by Joel Kotkin opens: For much of the past decade, business recruiters, cities and urban developers have focused on the "young and restless," the "creative class," and the so-called "yuspie"--the young urban single professional. Cities, they've said, should capture this so-called "dream demographic" if they wish to inhabit the top tiers of the economic food chain and enjoy the fastest and most sustained growth. This focus -- epitomized by Michigan Gov. Jennifer Granholm's risible "Cool Cities" initiative -- is less successful than advertised. Cincinnati, Baltimore, Cleveland, Newark, Detroit and Memphis have danced to the tune of the hip and the cool, yet largely remain wallflowers in terms of economic and demographic growth. Instead, an analysis of migration data by my colleagues at the Praxis Strategy Group shows that the strongest job growth has consistently taken place in those regions -- such as Houston, Dallas, Charlotte and Raleigh-Durham -- with the largest net in-migration of young, educated families ranging from their mid-20s to mid-40s. New Zealand cities should take note. Read the whole essay here. <http://opinionjournal.com/editorial/feature.html?id=110010911>
Item Five: Cox, Kotkin and O'Toole on Amalgamation and Urban Governance.The Government has announced a Royal Commission of Inquiry into Auckland Governance. The Honourable Peter Salmon QC is the Chair of the Royal Commission. Dame Margaret Bazley and David Shand the Commissioners. The terms of reference are suitably broad and the commissioners are well qualified. However, the news media and most commentators seem to assume that the outcome will be some variation on the Super City with the nature of the amalgamations being all that has to be determined. Again it is to be hoped that we can learn from the experience of others. A good place to start is the recent report by Wendell Cox on the costs of local government in Philadelphia. The Demographia page explains:
*PENNSYLVANIA'S EFFICIENT TOWNSHIP GOVERNMENT* *Study Shows Smaller Governments Have Far Lower Costs per Capita* <http://www.psats.org/local_gov_growth_report.pdf>* (It's a big file so take a coffee break while it loads.)* In this report commissioned by the Pennsylvania State Association of Township Supervisors, Wendell Cox shows that the Commonwealth's smaller local governments have by far the lowest costs per capita, even when attributable spending is added and spending financed by state and federal sources is subtracted. This conclusion is in opposition to the "conventional wisdom," which is that larger governments are more efficient. In fact, the only "economies of scale" in larger governments are for special interest, which are able to exert control over larger government organizations with less effort and expenditure than would be necessary to control a myriad of smaller local governments. At the same time, smaller local governments are more effective because they are "closer to the people." This report on Pensylvania is mainly about outcomes while Wendell's report on Montreal is mainly about process. It is depressing reading. <http://www.publicpurpose.com/pp-montreal.pdf>
Both reports deal with governance and structure. Then our friend Joel Kotkin, in Back to Basics, <http://www.joelkotkin.com/Urban_Affairs/NAF_GrowthStrategy.pdf> writes about what such bodies need to actually do. To complete "the terrible trio", in Unlivable Strategies:The Greater Vancouver Regional District and the Livable Region Strategic Plan, Randal O'Toole points out that the best way to manage infrastructure is to have dedicated bodies who deal solely with their own task, just as the Reserve Bank deals solely with monetary policy. The "integration" can take place in public debate rather than behind closed doors. The problem with multi-functional governance is that one pressure group usually comes to dominate all activity and everything gets brushed aside "in favour of the favourite fad". This is how all those train sets get built. Download Randal's report here. <http://www.fraserinstitute.org/commerce.web/publication_details.aspx?pubID=4923> We need to get all four reports in front of the commissioners before they sit down to hear all the advocates of amalgamation for Auckland and encourage yet another wrong decision in the history of Auckland.
*Item Six: Will Alexander writes to the British High Commissioner.WJR Alexander is Professor Emeritus, Department of Civil and Biosystems Engineering, University of Pretoria, South Africa. Email
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<mailto:
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> In this letter to the British High Commissioner to South Africa, written in response to a scientific mission evidently charged with scaring South Africans about the effects of climate change, Will opens his argument with the somewhat provocative statement: "The subject of the discussions relates to the science of climate change. I am obliged to inform you that for a number of reasons, knowledge on this subject is further advanced in the applied sciences in South Africa than in the UK and other northern hemisphere countries that experience milder climates." And later:
"Despite alarmist predictions to the contrary, based on inadequate global climate prediction models, sub-continental Africa has just experienced two successive good years. There were beneficial, widespread heavy rainfalls during this period. Rivers flowed strongly and dams filled. The countryside in our arid regions was wetter and greener than at any time in recent memory. There were no signs of the predicted desertification of this region. There were no losses of our unique indigenous plant and animal species. Together with colleagues I have demonstrated that claims that human activities have had an adverse effect on rainfall, river flow, floods and droughts with consequent adverse effects on the natural environment, have no substance. There is no measurable, regional scale, synchronous, multi-process, multi-site evidence to support the alarmist claims. None at all." This is a carefully worded, restrained and thought-provoking letter from a genuine expert in African climatic conditions and their impact on agriculture, power generation and flood control. He gently chides the British High Commissioner for the UK's condescending and patronising attitudes to South African science while respectfully requesting "more trade and less aid". Most of what we hear about Africa today comes from expert celebrities like Bono, Madonna, George Clooney and Leonardo DiCaprio. For a different voice go to: Letter to the High Commissioner
I am pleased to say I shall be meeting Will Alexander in Bali when I arrive there on Saturday. I am even more pleased to say that the Centre played a major role in promoting his attendance at the UNFCC conference where we are sure he will have a major impact. He focuses on the impact of the Kyoto policies on agriculture in Africa. We have much to learn from his approach and his experience and knowledge.
Entertainment – Squatters Rights?Many of you will be generally aware of the world-wide assault on property rights. Most of us were shocked by the Keloh decision of the US Supreme Court <http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2005/06/23/AR2005062300783_pf.html> which found that "local governments may force property owners to sell out and make way for private economic development when officials decide it would benefit the public, even if the property is not blighted and the new project's success is not guaranteed." Many are not aware that a key reason for the justification of this taking was that the city was working to "a plan". Fortunately, here in New Zealand, cities have not attempted to take private property for such "public purposes" – our property is more likely to be taken to protect "natural features" or increasingly to protect someone's belief in their "right to a rural view" - aka "protecting rural character". (see for example: /Merton v Rodney District Council 2/2/07, Judge Jackson, Commissioners Manning and Mills, ENC Auckland A008/07/) However, you can depend on Americans to innovate and who would have thought squatters' rights could be used to take your neighbour's property? Only in America - surely? But don't relax – I am sure DoC has read this case with interest. <http://ti.org/antiplanner/?p=302%23more-30> And when you have finished, go to the Antiplanner home page and get up to date with more papers from the American Dream conference at San Jose. While it is comforting to imagine "that could never happen here" ponder section 5 of the RMA and what it was meant to mean, and remember how in the Third Reading we were told this was the end to "the direction and control of the use of land". Then, while you are feeling smug and comfortable, go to the Western Bay of Plenty District Council web pages and examine their Omokaroa Proposed Plan Change 69 <http://www.wbopdc.govt.nz/Projects/OmokoroaUrbanisation/PlanChange69.htm> and take a look at the structure plans prepared by Becca Planning. Go to Plan Change 69 – Part One, and look at the lists on page 9, and page 13 and then the minimum density rules on page 14. And don't you love this? 6.3.3.1 Activity Performance Standards for Activities in the Commercial Zone the Omokoroa
Stage 2 Structure Plan Area (a)A Comprehensive Development Plan for the whole zone shall be prepared by the District Council prior to development of individual titles. This plan shall define the compliance with the performance standards and criteria listed below and the location of buildings, traffic and pedestrian cycle paths and parking areas and shall specify integration within the commercial zone and to the adjoining Industrial Zone and public reserve. You might think that either Becca Planning or the Council must own all the land on this peninsula but, it is all in private ownership – owned by people who never wanted to be "urbanised" and who were quite happy with their rural-residential horticultural small farming lifestyle and environment. I gave evidence to the Environment Court in which I challenged the whole theory of Smart Growth and challenged its legitimacy because it clearly required "the direction and control of land use". Under cross-examination Council's planner explained that this was not so – Council had simply figured out where future populations would like to live and was providing for them, hence enabling them to achieve their goals. This satisfied Judge Sheppard who threw out the appeal on the plan and found heavy costs against the appellants. I wonder if the Judge ever gets to look at these documents and wonders if they are about "the direction and control of the use of land"? Go to the pages 30 to 33 and pages 1 and 3 of Part 2. You might also look at Appendix IX of part 2 which the Centre has appealed.
Whatever happened to these landowners' right to the quiet enjoyment of their land? How do we change the RMA to make such "taking by planning" clearly unlawful?
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