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Will the National Party's RMA reforms satisfy business? |
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Centre Digests
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Activity One this week: Appeared on TV One programme "NZI Business" talking about RMA Reforms (on Wednesday morning.) (This programme screens at 6.00 am and I was first off the blocks so do not apologise if you missed it.)
The opening question was "Are the National Party's package of reforms to the RMA sufficient to satisfy business?" I explained that all party policies had been framed before the full impact of the bursting of the housing bubble and the international credit crunch made itself felt here. By the time it did, all candidates were in full electioneering mode and had little time to develop the policies needed to deal with this rapidly changing and developing crisis.
Fortunately the National Party RMA policy package did include reforms which would make it easier and faster to get major infrastructure projects approved and built and so those reforms will be useful given that one part of the standard anti-recession package is for Government to spend on infrastructure.
However, for the real economy to recover, the private sector must regain the confidence to invest in private projects – and this requires much more dramatic reforms to both the RMA and all the other legislation which impacts on private investment decisions.
During boom times people tend to forget about the connection between property rights and property value and hence the value of the security available to banks and other financiers.
For example, many of our farmers have borrowed against the farm to invest in dairy farming. Now those farmers face falling dairy prices across the board, and falling land values because of the property crunch. With luck they will still have sufficient headroom to keep their financiers reasonably comfortable. However, if their local council decides to designate a large part of the farm as "Outstanding Natural Landscape" with all manner of impacts on property rights, some of that headroom disappears, and as they now say in California, they get a little closer to being "underwater" – i.e. in negative equity.
If central Government then introduces an Emissions Trading Scheme which reduces the farm income by say $30,000 (even if over some indeterminate time frame) then the value of the farm and hence the security available decreases further – and maybe the headroom is gone. Sea levels may not rise but many farmers find themselves "underwater".
If we look back to the Great Depression, the Roosevelt administration launched a major infrastructure programme which however failed to end the depression. The problem was that the Government also passed over thirty pieces of legislation which threatened or undermined property rights which brought private investment and lending almost to a standstill.
So now that the campaigning is over, Government has to step back and and set up some mechanism for analysing the machinery of government to identify those Acts, Policies, and Regulations which will prevent entrepreneurs and their financiers from building us out of recession.
The first "casualty" must be those local body development contributions which actually fine entrepreneurs for having the audacity to build new tourist accommodation, factories or housing. The Centre will be working with others to identify the full range of targets – any feedback will be appreciated.
Robert Higgs' famous paper "Regime Uncertainty –Why the Great Depression Lasted So Long and Why Prosperity Resumed after the War" reminds us that during this period one threat to property rights was the frequent invasion of factories and offices by union members who simply took over the property until they got their way and yet were never prosecuted for trespass. Evidently they were immune to prosecution because "their cause was just".
These days, we need to consider the wider impact of allowing Greenpeace and anti-GM activists to invade private property and even destroy valuable experimental plants, apparently without risk of prosecution because they too are "doing good works".
The Centre is preparing further written material on this topic which we shall circulate.
In the meantime we would appreciate any feedback on regulations and actions which threaten, undermine or actually take away your property rights and hence discourage investment and devalue the security available to financiers.
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